As the first quarter is coming to a close many companies are happy to see the volume of returns slow down to a more reasonable rate. Some are happy to be finished with processing peak volume while others are wondering how they will ever get caught up.

There is one truism about returns, regardless of whether you are talking expensive hi-tech gear or a plastic toy and that is that returns don’t get better with age.  In fact, for hi-tech equipment you can count on loosing 10% in value about every 30 days.  What this means is that you must have a strategy to turn your inventory in less than 30 days in order to maximize the value of the goods in your reverse pipeline.

Strategy?  Many executive responsible for returns processing never think “strategy”.  They just kind of know what is going to happen and they hope they survive.  As the old wise man said “Hope is not a strategy.” Without a well thought out plan, that is flexible, the chances of maximizing the value of the inventory flowing through your reverse pipeline is slim.  What is the “Value of Inventory” in a reverse logistics pipeline?  Here is a simple formula that captures the idea:

Returned Asset Net Value = (Original Value X Recovery %) – Total Cost to Process

So why does the value drop on returned items so quickly?  First, goods flowing through the reverse pipeline are handled an additional 8 to 10 times which adds a lot of wear and tear on the items.  Second, returned goods generally aren’t packaged and transported with the same high quality outer packaging, pallets, and protection like similar new goods.  These goods are often shipped without packaging at all and are not stacked on neat pallets, with standard Ti-Hi arrangements that help secure the freight during transportation.  As a result, this stuff get beat up.  Many manufacturers will tell you that a lot of their returns are fine when they enter the reverse logistics pipeline in the back of their customer’s store, but by the time they receive and finally process the goods, it is barely recognizable in some cases.

Another factor is obsolescence caused by technology improvement and age.  For example, a few years ago one of my facilities was receiving Apple iPods.  We were processing these iPods and selling them on the secondary market for about 50% of original value.  Right in the middle of the returns season, Apple introduced a new iPod that was much improved over the previous model we were handling.  Overnight, the value on the secondary market dropped from 50% to 30 % of original value.  The asset recovery buyers knew that in 60 days their current market that justified paying 50% on original retail would drop dramatically as demand for the newer model grew.

It is for these reasons that when it comes to reverse logistics timing is everything.  However, in order to get the most out of returned assets, a strategic plan of action must be developed that addresses the following key variables:

• Volume - Peak returns volumes can be between 30% to 150% higher than an average month and can include additional recalled items, return to stock goods and other asset profiles not normally processed.  Estimated volume, type of returns, profile of the assets and disposition are critical pieces of information to know in order to properly plan.
• Space – temporary space will be needed to handle higher inbound volumes at the start of the season and then used for holding outbound surges as the volumes are processed.
• Labor – additional shifts will be needed which will require hourly labor and additional management. Many often forget they will need more trained supervisors, who will require more time to get up to speed.
• Disposition Partners – Communicate expectations to liquidators, recyclers, and others you ship to so they understand your plans and the volumes they will need to be ready to receive.  A word of caution on dealing with liquidators: don’t expect a liquidator who barely pays for product in normal times to be able to pay three or four times as much during the first quarter when their sales are down.  You will need to qualify, inspect, and select other buyers to keep your asset recovery product flowing.
• Red Flags – Develop metrics to be used to monitor inbound, processing, and outbound activities.  Have a plan of action if the key metrics get out of tolerance.  For example, you might track inbound trailers in your facility and set a metric of 12.  If you see there are more than 12 trailers coming in, the action will be to rent one storage trailer from company X for every trailer over 12.

Remember, the biggest difference between a normal distribution center and a reverse logistics operations is that in the latter, you don’t know what you are going to get until you open the door.  In a warehouse, you have somebody placing orders and you know how much you are going to receive and when it is going to get there.  Not so in a return center.  The key to building a good plan to deal with returns is to build in flexibility.  You have to be able to increase or decrease each component based on what is going to come in the door and you won’t know that until it gets there.  Simply hoping the flow is smooth and things work out is asking for trouble and will cost money.

Reverse logistics is like other functions in a supply chain.  In order to optomize performance you must have a goal but like the old saying goes “A goal without a plan is just a wish.”  For the average company, returns are over 8% of assets and the average company spends between 9% & 14% of revenue on these returned assets.  That is a lot of money to leave to chance.  Developing a strategic plan of action focused on maximizing the value of all assets flowing through the reverse pipeline is crucial to your companies success.